The crypto market ripped higher on Thursday, August 20. TOTAL, the total crypto market cap, stood near $2.34 trillion, up about 9.32% from yesterday’s low.
Washington set it off. A US Treasury move dragged bond yields lower and revived risk appetite, and a wave of short liquidations did the rest.
1. Washington Just Pushed Bond Yields Down
Policy did the work here. The Treasury doubled its bond buyback operations to at least $4 billion each and raised them from two to four per quarter, a plan that starts September 9.
When the Treasury buys back its own bonds, it becomes a large buyer in that market and pushes bond prices up. Prices and yields move in opposite directions, so yields fall, and the 10-year dropped to 4.647% while the 30-year slid to 5.196%.
Those same yields sat at their highest since 2007 a day earlier, pulling money out of crypto. Safe debt now pays less, so the bar a risky asset must clear drops and cash rotates back toward crypto.
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- Spark: Treasury doubled bond buybacks to $4 billion each
- Effect: The 10-year yield fell to 4.647%, easing pressure
- Result: Cheaper money sends cash back into risk assets
2. A $2.74 Billion Short Squeeze Pours Fuel
Leverage took over from there. Traders betting on lower prices got run over, with $2.74 billion of shorts wiped out in 24 hours against just $257 million of longs, and 171,711 accounts liquidated.
Every forced short has to buy back to close, so that pressure flips into buying. Bitcoin traders lost $1.42 billion and Ethereum traders $1.13 billion, overwhelmingly on the short side. And this turned a policy bounce into a 9% surge.
TOTAL cleared $2.28 trillion before stalling just shy of $2.38 trillion.
A close above $2.38 trillion opens $2.55 trillion, while rejection puts $2.33 trillion and then $2.28 trillion back in focus.
- Damage: $2.74 billion of shorts erased in a day
- Barrier: $2.38 trillion caps the move for now
- Watch: Long positions now building as the inverse risk
Coin Spotlight: Ethereum (ETH)
Ethereum (ETH) led the majors near $2,250 after an 18% jump. It had climbed inside a rising channel since June 26, and this candle broke above the upper trendline on a jump in volume.
Sellers stopped it at $2,288. A daily close above that level opens $2,579, while failure drops it toward $2,187 and then the firmer $2,108 floor.
- Breakout: ETH cleared the channel top held since June
- Trigger: A close above $2,288 opens $2,579
- Backstop: $2,187 then $2,108 catch any fade
Analyst’s View: A squeeze can start a market rally, but it cannot carry it for long. For the upward leg to continue, the crypto market would need fresh spot demand followed by ETF inflows. If not, the crowded longs, which would inadvertently show up, could become tomorrow’s reversal fuel.
Source: BeInCrypto